Naplesvs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naples 1-0 Spokane Velocity
Original prediction
Spokane Velocity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.3% | 34.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 28.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.9% | 36.9% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Spokane Velocity
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00