Naplesvs
One Knoxville
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Naples are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while One Knoxville are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
12.0%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60