GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Naples are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while One Knoxville are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

12.0%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NaplesLDWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
One KnoxvilleDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NaplesOne Knoxville
36.8Attack57.9
45.6Defence63.2
35.1Form63.2
41.5Power62.6
0.82xG1.85
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