GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Naples · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Naples are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.5 against 40.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the USL League One, while Naples holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Naples

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Naples has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NaplesLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Greenville TriumphWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NaplesGreenville Triumph
36.8Attack36.8
45.6Defence43.9
35.1Form33.3
41.5Power40.1
1.34xG1.10
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