GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Naples are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NaplesWDWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Forward MadisonWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NaplesForward Madison
36.8Attack66.7
45.6Defence64.9
35.1Form63.2
41.5Power64.5
0.78xG2.13
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