GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corpus Christi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Naples are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Corpus Christi are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Corpus Christi hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the USL League One, while Corpus Christi holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corpus Christi

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Corpus Christi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NaplesWLDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Corpus ChristiLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
NaplesCorpus Christi
36.8Attack38.3
45.6Defence56.7
35.1Form43.3
41.5Power48.0
1.01xG1.17
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