Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naples 2-1 Alta
Original prediction
Alta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NaplesLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AltaLDWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NaplesAlta
38.3Attack46.4
43.3Defence60.9
33.3Form46.4
40.7Power52.4
0.94xG1.50