Napier City Roversvs
Ferrymead Bays
SCHEDULEDNew-Zealand · National League - National · 11/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napier City Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 04:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Napier City Rovers
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Napier City Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Napier City RoversWLDLW
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Ferrymead BaysLWDLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Napier City RoversFerrymead Bays
44.4Attack33.3
0.0Defence44.4
44.4Form44.4
32.7Power43.8
1.91xG1.90