Catarinense - 2
Nação
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Metropolitano leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Nação head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (WLD), while Metropolitano arrive in mixed form (LWD). Nação have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 33% for Metropolitano over 3 games.
The model rates Nação's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Metropolitano defence, and Metropolitano's attack at 47/100 against a 77/100 Nação backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Nação have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match. Metropolitano have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.
The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Metropolitano to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Nação 2370%, Draw 2580%, Metropolitano 5050%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
Recent form
Nação
Metropolitano
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nação vs Metropolitano?
GoalVio's model predicts Metropolitano to win with 51% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Nação vs Metropolitano?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Nação vs Metropolitano?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nação vs Metropolitano?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.