Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Joinville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nação 0-4 Joinville
Original prediction
Joinville
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 12:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Joinville
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Joinville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NaçãoLDDLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
JoinvilleLWLLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NaçãoJoinville
51.9Attack63.0
33.3Defence44.4
29.6Form48.1
40.2Power52.7
1.76xG2.29