Naçãovs
Hercílio Luz
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 9/17/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hercílio Luz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nação are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hercílio Luz are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hercílio Luz hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Hercílio Luz holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hercílio Luz
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Hercílio Luz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60