Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nação are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Avai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Avai hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Avai holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avai
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Avai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60