Nantong Zhiyunvs
Ningbo Professional
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 Ningbo Professional, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 Ningbo Professional
Original prediction
Nantong Zhiyun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.1% | 56.7% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.9% | 26.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 6.94 | 12.9% | 16.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Projected Score
Nantong Zhiyun 1–0 Ningbo Professional
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Zhiyun
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00