GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nantong Zhiyun are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nanjing City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Zhiyun hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the League One, while Nantong Zhiyun holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nantong Zhiyun

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nantong ZhiyunDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nanjing CityDWLDW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nantong ZhiyunNanjing City
41.2Attack31.5
74.5Defence63.0
60.8Form37.0
60.6Power46.1
1.03xG0.42
View match centre →