GGOALVIO

China · League One · 3/14/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nantong Zhiyun are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hebei Kungfu are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Zhiyun hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.4% in the League One, while Nantong Zhiyun holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nantong Zhiyun

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

25.4%

Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nantong ZhiyunLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hebei KungfuDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nantong ZhiyunHebei Kungfu
41.2Attack22.2
74.5Defence59.3
60.8Form27.8
60.6Power39.4
1.15xG0.33
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