Nantong Zhiyunvs
Guangxi Hengchen
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Guangxi Hengchen
Original prediction
Nantong Zhiyun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.5% | 44.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.9% | 27.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.7% | 27.9% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Zhiyun
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00