Nantong Zhiyunvs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/26/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nantong Zhiyun 2-0 Changchun Yatai
Original prediction
Nantong Zhiyun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.0% | 57.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.1% | 23.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Zhiyun
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80