GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantong Haimen Codion · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Nantong Haimen Codion 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns II, with an exact score probability of 23%.

Prediction record

Final result

Nantong Haimen Codion 3-0 Wuhan Three Towns II

Original prediction

Nantong Haimen Codion

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1541.8%40.1%-1.6 pts
Draw3.0829.2%31.7%2.5 pts
Away3.0929.1%28.2%-0.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.6 pts

Projected Score

Nantong Haimen Codion 0–0 Wuhan Three Towns II

Exact score probability: 23%

Predicted outcome

Nantong Haimen Codion

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Nantong Haimen Codion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nantong Haimen CodionWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Wuhan Three Towns IIWDWLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Nantong Haimen CodionWuhan Three Towns II
42.0Attack30.9
67.9Defence64.2
45.7Form33.3
53.3Power44.0
0.99xG0.53
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