Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reims · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nantes 0-0 Reims
Original prediction
Reims
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.0% | 32.0% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.6% | 27.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 28.4% | 40.3% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Reims
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NantesWLWDL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ReimsLDWDW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NantesReims
42.9Attack71.4
38.1Defence57.1
33.3Form61.9
41.0Power64.7
1.15xG2.14