GGOALVIO

China · League One · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nanjing City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Yanbian Longding are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yanbian Longding hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nanjing CityWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Yanbian LongdingWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nanjing CityYanbian Longding
31.5Attack47.4
63.0Defence71.9
37.0Form56.1
46.1Power59.7
0.54xG1.00
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