Nanjing Cityvs
Wuxi Wugou
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wuxi Wugou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nanjing City 0-3 Wuxi Wugou
Original prediction
Wuxi Wugou
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.3% | 29.0% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.0% | 27.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.6% | 43.4% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Wuxi Wugou
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00