GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nanjing City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shenzhen Juniors are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen Juniors hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the League One, while Shenzhen Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen Juniors

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

17.1%

Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nanjing CityDLDWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen JuniorsWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nanjing CityShenzhen Juniors
31.5Attack51.9
63.0Defence61.1
37.0Form59.3
46.1Power57.8
0.75xG1.09
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