GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/6/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nanjing City are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Shanghai Jiading are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Nanjing City hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nanjing CityDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Shanghai JiadingDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Nanjing CityShanghai Jiading
31.5Attack22.2
63.0Defence58.9
37.0Form34.4
46.1Power41.2
0.84xG0.51
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