Nanjing Cityvs
Shaanxi Union
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/7/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shaanxi Union · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nanjing City 0-1 Shaanxi Union, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nanjing City 1-4 Shaanxi Union
Original prediction
Shaanxi Union
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.8% | 20.2% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.7% | 26.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.5% | 52.9% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Projected Score
Nanjing City 0–1 Shaanxi Union
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Shaanxi Union
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00