Nanjing Cityvs
Meizhou Kejia
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 5/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nanjing City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Nanjing City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Meizhou Kejia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nanjing City hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the League One, while Nanjing City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nanjing City
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Nanjing City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20