GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nanjing City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nanjing City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Meizhou Kejia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nanjing City hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the League One, while Nanjing City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nanjing City

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Nanjing City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nanjing CityWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Meizhou KejiaLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Nanjing CityMeizhou Kejia
31.5Attack35.2
63.0Defence37.0
37.0Form37.0
46.1Power39.1
1.29xG0.70
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