Nanjing Cityvs
Hebei Kungfu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nanjing City 0-0 Hebei Kungfu, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nanjing City 1-0 Hebei Kungfu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.8% | 29.3% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 33.1% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.1% | 37.5% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Nanjing City 0–0 Hebei Kungfu
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nanjing CityDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hebei KungfuDWWDW
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nanjing CityHebei Kungfu
26.9Attack29.5
52.6Defence67.9
28.2Form44.9
38.5Power49.9
0.53xG0.79