Nanjing Cityvs
Guangxi Hengchen
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nanjing City 0-2 Guangxi Hengchen
Original prediction
Guangxi Hengchen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 30.3% | 24.5% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 26.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.2% | 49.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20