GGOALVIO

China · League One · 3/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nanjing City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nanjing City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.1 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the League One, while Nanjing City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nanjing City

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Nanjing City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nanjing CityLDWWL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Changchun YataiLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nanjing CityChangchun Yatai
31.5Attack50.0
63.0Defence37.0
37.0Form42.6
46.1Power45.4
1.27xG1.01
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