Nancyvs
Villefranche
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nancy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nancy are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Villefranche are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nancy hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Ligue 3, while Nancy holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nancy
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00