Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reims · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nancy 1-2 Reims
Original prediction
Reims
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 29.5% | 31.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.4% | 28.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 42.1% | 40.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Reims
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NancyLWWLD
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
ReimsDWWDD
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NancyReims
20.0Attack80.0
86.7Defence53.3
46.7Form60.0
53.0Power64.8
1.03xG1.24