Nancyvs
Montpellier
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Nancy are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Montpellier are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Montpellier hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Ligue 2, while Montpellier holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montpellier
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
17.9%
Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80