Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nancy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nancy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Mamer are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 80.3 against 80.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nancy holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nancy
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
11.2%
Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40