GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estac Troyes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nancy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Estac Troyes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nancy hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Estac Troyes holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estac Troyes

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Estac Troyes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NancyWWWDL

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Estac TroyesLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
NancyEstac Troyes
33.3Attack77.8
100.0Defence72.2
100.0Form77.8
80.3Power76.1
1.34xG1.89
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