Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nancy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nancy are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Epinal are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nancy hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Ligue 3, while Nancy holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nancy
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50