Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nancy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nancy are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dunkerque are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dunkerque hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Ligue 2, while Nancy holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nancy
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
16.6%
Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80