Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nancy · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nancy 2-0 Dunkerque
Original prediction
Nancy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.7% | 38.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 34.3% | 34.0% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Nancy
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NancyWLDDD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DunkerqueLDWDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NancyDunkerque
11.1Attack77.8
88.9Defence33.3
44.4Form44.4
51.1Power53.1
1.31xG1.18