Namyangjuvs
Gijang United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Namyangju · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Namyangju 2-1 Gijang United
Original prediction
Namyangju
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.6% | 49.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.9% | 25.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.5% | 24.8% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Namyangju
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Namyangju has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00