Nakhon Ratchasima FCvs
Chiangmai United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nakhon Ratchasima FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-2 Chiangmai United
Original prediction
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.2% | 44.0% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 27.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.8% | 28.6% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60