Nakhon Ratchasima FCvs
Chainat
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nakhon Ratchasima FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-2 Chainat
Original prediction
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.1% | 41.3% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.3% | 27.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.6% | 31.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80