Nakhon Pathomvs
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nakhon Ratchasima FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nakhon Pathom 2-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Original prediction
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.0% | 17.3% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 32.8% | 27.7% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.2% | 55.0% | 20.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.8 pts
Projected Score
Nakhon Pathom 0–1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00