Nakhon Pathomvs
Kanchanaburi
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/16/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanchanaburi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Kanchanaburi
Original prediction
Kanchanaburi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.6% | 32.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 27.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.7% | 39.6% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Kanchanaburi
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Kanchanaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60