Nairobi Unitedvs
APS Bomet
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nairobi United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nairobi United 0-0 APS Bomet, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet
Original prediction
Nairobi United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.6% | 44.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.4% | 30.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 22.9% | 24.8% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Projected Score
Nairobi United 0–0 APS Bomet
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Nairobi United
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Nairobi United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20