Nagykanizsai ULEvs
Fehérvár FC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fehérvár FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nagykanizsai ULE 1-0 Fehérvár FC
Original prediction
Fehérvár FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 25.2% | 30.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 27.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.7% | 42.6% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Fehérvár FC
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Fehérvár FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20