Nagoya Grampusvs
Yokohama F. Marinos
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.7% | 27.4% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.7% | 26.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 33.6% | 46.3% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80