GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nagoya Grampus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nagoya Grampus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kyoto Sanga hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the J1 League, while Nagoya Grampus holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nagoya Grampus

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Nagoya Grampus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nagoya GrampusWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kyoto SangaDLDLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nagoya GrampusKyoto Sanga
16.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence33.3
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
1.40xG1.32
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