GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Nagoya Grampus are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gamba Osaka

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

13.0%

Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nagoya GrampusLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gamba OsakaWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence0.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power72.0
1.33xG1.51
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