Nagoya Grampusvs
Gamba Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nagoya Grampus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gamba Osaka
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
12.7%
Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20