Nagoya Grampusvs
Fagiano Okayama
SCHEDULEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nagoya Grampus are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fagiano Okayama hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fagiano Okayama
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60