Nagoya Grampusvs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nagoya Grampus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
Original prediction
Nagoya Grampus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.8% | 37.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.5% | 28.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 33.8% | 33.4% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Nagoya Grampus
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Nagoya Grampus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00