GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Nagoya Grampus are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fagiano Okayama hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fagiano Okayama

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

14.2%

Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nagoya GrampusLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fagiano OkayamaWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power53.0
1.15xG1.30
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