GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nagoya Grampus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avispa Fukuoka

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nagoya GrampusLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Avispa FukuokaWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nagoya GrampusAvispa Fukuoka
16.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence83.3
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power59.3
1.10xG1.42
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