Nagoya Grampusvs
Avispa Fukuoka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nagoya Grampus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avispa Fukuoka
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80