NagaWorldvs
Kompong Dewa
COMPLETEDCambodia · C-League · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NagaWorld · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NagaWorld 1-0 Kompong Dewa
Original prediction
NagaWorld
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.5% | 45.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 24.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.8% | 30.1% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
NagaWorld
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
NagaWorld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60