Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gomel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Naftan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Gomel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gomel hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (30.5 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the Premier League, while FC Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Gomel
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
FC Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00