Naftanvs
FC Dnepr Mogilev
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 3/22/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Naftan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Dnepr Mogilev are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dnepr Mogilev hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (30.5 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80